UK’s newest policies to cut down migrants – will it work? 

By Chloe and Rajnandini 

The UK government plans to send off the first group of illegal migrants to Rwanda next spring. 

On November 15, despite the Supreme Court’s decision, the UK government set out to proceed with its decision to expel illegal migrants to Rwanda, Africa.

Ignoring the UK Supreme Court’s ruling that it is unlawful, Prime Minister Rishi Sunak is moving forward with his proposal to transfer asylum seekers to Rwanda.

“Stop the boats” is one of five objectives that Sunak has set for his government to reduce the influx of asylum seekers.

According to Sunak, planes to transfer migrants to Rwanda would begin operating by the spring of 2024.

An agreement was signed in April last year between London and Kigali, the capital of Rwanda, based on which Britain would transfer asylum-seekers to Rwanda so that the Rwandan asylum system could handle their requests for asylum.

Those who were found to be ineligible for protection would be deported, while those who were successful would remain in Rwanda.

On the same day, Sunak said in parliament, “When people know that if they come here illegally, they won’t get to stay, then they will stop coming altogether.”

Sunak offered a two-pronged alternative in a press conference following what appeared to be a political setback to his government: The first objective is to turn the protocol of understanding with Rwanda into an international treaty in order to satisfy some of the court’s concerns concerning the migrant’s safety.

A five-year project was first announced in April 2022, which will send a number of asylum seekers who enter the UK unlawfully to Rwanda for processing.

Due to legal reasons, the first flight, which was scheduled for June 2022, was cancelled.

According to the BBC, the number of migrants arriving in small, unseaworthy boats to the UK has significantly increased over time, with the asylum seekers paying criminal groups that smuggle people into the country in dangerous vessels.

Several of those boats have sunk, and people have lost their lives by drowning as a result.

Aadeel, who overstayed in the UK, said he does not want to move or being send to anywhere else. 

Aadeel, an immigrant who arrived in the UK a few years ago and is frightened of being deported, refused to give his last name.

He shared about some of his challenges in life. 

Aadeel imagined a better life, one without violence and poverty. In an effort to improve his situation, he took the difficult choice to travel to the UK at great risk in the hopes of finding a better future.

“I work long hours for little money and am always afraid of being found out to be an undocumented immigrant.” said Aadeel.

Aadeel continued in trying despite the difficulties. Along his journey, he made friends, became fluent in the English language, and engaged himself within the community. He found hope and strength in the charity and support of strangers.

“The new policy scares me even more because what if I am next, I don’t want to leave this country to stay in Rwanda, I am more comfortable here.” added Aadeel.

“The legislation would prevent a large group of highly vulnerable refugees from depending on human rights protections by allowing it up to the Home Secretary to determine who should be safeguarded and those who should be deported—and excluding the courts almost entirely,” Adam Wagner, a well-known human rights lawyer, said in March of this year, the BBC reported.

Following that, more controversially, there are proposals to effectively overturn the Supreme Court’s decision.

Home Secretary James Cleverly agreed to a new deal with Rwanda in response to public outrage over the government’s proposal to deport asylum seekers there.

On December 5, in order to sign the latest migration agreement, Cleverly travelled to the capital of Rwanda.

The new agreement, which substitutes a non-binding memorandum of understanding and was signed by Cleverly, states that Rwanda will not deport asylum seekers to a nation where their freedom or lives would be in danger—one of the court’s primary concerns.

Cleverly projected that in the upcoming months, migrants will be travelling to Rwanda because the treaty resolved every concern brought forward by the Supreme Court.

The British Red Cross has stated their opinion on the policy and said that there should be no role for outsourcing in the UK’s asylum system. Numerous people are personally informing us of the worry and anxiety that recent decisions have caused. 

“That this policy has left a significant impact on the men, women, and children seeking protection here, despite the fact they might not be directly affected by them.”

“We wish to collaborate with the government in order to build a more fair, humane, and efficient system. In order to lessen the overflow of applications, our country should offer safer alternatives to risky travel, better decision-making processes, and make sure that everyone is treated with respect and decency at all times.” said Mike Adamson the Chief Executive of British Red Cross.

“Britain has always been a popular immigration destination for Hongkongers, especially for those who hold BNO,” said Tina Cheng, associate director of Midland Immigration Consultancy. “However, it is uncertain whether the British government would also tighten the applications of BNO holders’ citizenship approval, including stricter consideration and requirements.” 

The UK has been accepting a few hundred thousands of Ukraine refugees since the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine War in 2022, and also HongKongers who hold British National Overseas (BNO) passports that want to become permanent British citizens.

Although the British government claimed the numbers of the above populations have slowed down, Midland Immigration Consultancy, which provides constant to overseas migrants, is worried that the British government might also tighten BNO holders migration rules.

Cheng added that due to such uncertain factors, the amount of Hong Kong migrants to the UK might reduce if there’s any new and stricter policies.

Apart from sending immigrants to Rwanda, the British government introduced more stricter plans to tighten the UK’s migration rules starting from next spring time.

Being a popular destination for migrants, the UK  took 745,000 net migrants last year, making it the highest recorded figure. 

On 4 December, home secretary James Cleverly announced in the Parliament that he aimed to reduce the numbers of immigrants by 300,000 people each year by increasing the minimum salary requirement for skilled worker visa applicants – from 26,000 pounds to 38,700 pounds, a total of 47 per cent rise.Family visa applicants’ average wage requirement is also increased to 38,700 pounds.

According to Statista, the average wage of the British workforce is only 34,963 pounds annually in 2023.

Meanwhile, the British government will reexamine and tighten the country’s shortage occupation list by possibly reducing positions that open for worker visa granted application. 

People who work for the medical and health care sectors will be exempted from this new rule, but those who would like to bring their family members and dependents to the UK, will no longer be eligible to do so. Care providers in England will now only be able to sponsor migrant workers if they are undertaking activities regulated by the Care Quality Commission.  

In addition starting from 16 January 2024, foreign workers must pay an extra of 411 pounds for the Immigration health surcharge (IHS) in order to have free access to the healthcare service of the UK’s National Health Service (NHS).

The IHS is a must during the immigration application and it is set to be increased from 624 pounds to 1,035 pounds. 

According to the Office for National Statistics, the United Kingdom intakes 745,000 net migrants, more than last year’s estimated number of 606,000 people, making it the highest recorded figure. Most of the migrants come from non-european countries, namely India, Nigeria and China. 

Home Office figures showed visas granted to foreign health and social care workers had doubled to 143,990 in the year to September. Those also brought in 173,896 dependents with them to the UK.

The home office explained such schemes hope to encourage business to consider taking local talent first instead of overly relying on migration workforces. 

Cleverly said to the press that there’s a need to reduce the migrant population as it has gone far beyond the reasonable range. “It is clear that net migration remains far too high. By leaving the European Union we gained control over who can come to the UK, but far more must be done to bring those numbers down so British workers are not undercut and our public services put under less strain,” Cleverly said in the Parliament. 

The Home Office explains that such policies aim to encourage business to consider British locals first instead of foreign workforce. 

Madeleine Sumption, British political scientist and director of University of Oxford’s Migration Observatory said that the decision of raising the family income threshold would have the biggest impact.

Sumption’s job includes analysing the UK’s migration policies and research on the policies impacts to the society. She said the requirement that British citizens can bring a foreign partner to live with them in the UK is now doubled, making it extra difficult for family migration.

“Numbers of family migrations do not take up the majority of the migration population,but those who are affected, can be affected very significantly. The largest impacts will fall on lower-income British citizens, particularly women and younger people, who earn lower wages,” Sumption said.

Sumption explained that since COVID-19, the number of non-europeans coming to the UK for study and work purposes have significantly increased, especially those who are interested in the medical and healthcare sectors. She said it is the main reason for the high recorded net migration numbers in 2022.  

The healthcare field is fearful that the immigration cut-down plans would worsen the manpower shortage issue. Martin Green, the chief executive of Care England, which represents large private care home providers, expressed his concern that it would be harder for care providers to recruit foreign workers.

Green said in a presser that if the government now wants to move away from international recruitment as the solution to fixing the social care workforce crisis, it must act swiftly and invest in improving the pay and conditions to drive domestic recruitment.

UK’s migration policies are targeting not only illegal migrants or refugees but also the possible future workforces and investors. Britain’s biggest public service union UNISON secretary Christina McAnea criticised that such policies would lead to a manpower shortage in the healthcare sector, calling it a “complete disaster”. 


McAnea said on the British Television Talk TV’s interview that migrants summed up a large workforce in British hospitals and health care centres after Brexit. Without foreign workers, it would be a huge challenge for hospital operations. 

The next United Kingdom general election is set to be held no later than 28 January 2025, prediction said the election might be held next year. The Conservative Party is facing pressure and stress brought by the huge population of migrants. To call for more polls, migrant control has become a major focus in the British political agenda. 

Turbulence in Nové Heřminovy as reservoir construction divides community

In the very heart of Europe, a storm of controversy disturbs the serene landscapes of Nové Heřminovy as the village grapples with the divisive issue of constructing a flood protection reservoir.

The only house left in the planned reservoir area, it’s owner refuses to leave the house, 25.11. 2023,

Romana Ronja Ptáčková

For almost a century the chorus of opposition against the reservoir has been reverberating through the village and did not end even when the construction received a zoning decision this July. Near the tides of the river Opava, people still remember the tragic floods in 1997 that took the lives of dozens of people and left many more homeless. The event is still viewed as the most tragic natural disaster in the Czech Republic as well as central Europe. Building a dam should prevent it from ever happening again. The cost, however, would be paid by Nové Heřminovy.

Refusing to follow in the footsteps of Slezská Harta reservoir

The Nové Heřminovy reservoir, poised to become the Czech Republic’s newest water body, follows in the footsteps of the Slezská Harta reservoir within the same region. Slezská Harta, birthed through the inundation of the entire village of Karlovec and segments of Nová Pláň, Rázová, Dlouhá Stráň, Leskovec, and Roudno, stands as a predecessor to Nové Heřminovy. However, unlike their counterparts in the past, the residents of Nové Heřminovy vehemently opposed a similar fate.

Engaging in a protracted battle with the state, the citizens of Nové Heřminovy succeeded in safeguarding their homes from complete submersion when the state ultimately sanctioned a reduced version of the dam. Nevertheless, even this scaled-down dam necessitates the forced relocation of numerous residents and an irreversible alternation of the whole village.

The Shift

In the year of 2008, the citizens of Nové Heřminovy voiced their disagreement by declaring a referendum in the hope that it may save their beloved home.

“Before the new referendum is declared, this one is still valid and the city leaders should do everything to defend the interests of the citizens who expressed their opinions against the dam construction,” says the city council member Dana Kalašová

However, this July there was a big breakthrough as the political power shifted in Nové Heřminovy.  With the change in the elections and the coming of developers on top of the city council, the planned Nové Heřminovy reservoir received a zoning decision. The construction will start in 2027 and should be finished in 2031. The proposed dam is designed with a 330-meter-long concrete barrier standing at a height of 26.5 meters. The total reservoir capacity is 14.54 million cubic meters of water, with 11.56 million allocated for mitigating major floods. The inundated area covers nearly 130 hectares. The estimated cost is 4.26 billion Czech crowns which equals 175 million euro.                                                                                                                                  

Reservoir as the promise of economic growth

According to the organization Povodí Odry which oversees the construction, the Nové Heřminovy dam represents a multifaceted project. Not only will it serve as a crucial flood protection measure, but it also addresses concerns related to drought and the adverse impacts of climate change. Moreover, the organization claims that the dam is positioned to catalyze economic growth in the region, particularly in the tourism sector. Povodí Odry champions this initiative as a substantial investment that stands in the collective interest of the entire region. Despite the organization’s promises, public discontent persists as a part of Heřminovy should be flooded in the process.        

Voices against the dam

According to the native Kalašová, the organization Povodí Odry which oversees the construction applies undue pressure and is unclear in its communication, so it is hard to reach a compromise.

Ivo Dokoupil, an environmental activist, and the representative of the movement Duha Jeseníky has been fighting alongside the village’s citizens for years. He also points out the organization’s false play.

“Povodí Odry blackmails the mayors of neighbouring municipalities. They promised them protection in the form of dams in exchange for a signature expressing content with the water reservoir in Nové Heřminovy, but in the 20 years, they gained nothing. It is not an exactly fair game.”

So far, a billion Czech crowns, which is around 41 million euro, have been spent with no visible effect except for the reservoir plans. In addition to that, the European Commission has excluded the project from the National Recovery Plan and will provide no funding as it is not aligned with their environmental strategy. The project must rely on state resources.

Environmental effects

Amid the disruption in Nové Heřminovy and the costs of the reservoir, the primary opposition to the dam construction stems from the grim environmental effects that it would bring.

In expressing the grave concerns surrounding the construction of the dam on the Opava River, the local environmental advocate Dokoupil passionately articulates the potential consequences. They emphasize the imminent catastrophe, particularly in the most precious stretch of the river, where the tranquility and untouched nature have made it a haven for diverse protected species. Their poignant words shed light on the ecological richness at stake and the severe impact that the dam’s construction could have on the delicate balance of this pristine environment. River dam construction can significantly alter the natural flow and ecology of a river, leading to habitat disruption and loss of biodiversity. Additionally, the accumulation of sediment behind dams can impact water quality downstream, posing environmental challenges for aquatic ecosystems.

“Populations of freshwater species have fallen by an average of 83% globally since 1970, the largest decline of any species group, according to WWF Living Planet Report 2022.. Dams are major contributors to this global decline in freshwater biodiversity, mainly through altering river flows, disrupting fish migration, reducing water quality or water quantity,”

described Claire Baffert, senior water Policy Officer at WWF

The proposal of an alternative strategy

Nevertheless, alternative strategies and nature-based flood management solutions exist and can be cheaper. Baffert adds that implementing nature-based flood management solutions may require time, but their efficiency is undeniable. Actions like expanding rivers, linking them to floodplains, and establishing riparian forests serve as natural buffers, storing excess water during high flows. Beyond flood control, these measures offer additional advantages like generating eco-tourism income and storing carbon.                                                                      

The opposition calls for one of such strategies to be implemented. The intended strategy was created by an engineer and independent water manager Václav Černý and stands upon natural solutions. Despite its clear benefits, the strategy was not adopted.   

                                              

Hopes for the future 

“Even though the chance of winning seems lower, we do not want to give up. We want to fight a be on the right side. We cannot stop the zoning decision; we can only hold it back and point out its problematic parts,” .    

Voiced Dokoupil with a spirit.

Despite the odds, many still believe in the future of Nové Heřminovy without the dam.  Or at least that it can once again be a lively place, united in its community and its vision.

Nové Heřminovy timeline infographics, Romana Ronja Ptáčková, 5.12. 2023

Tackling Food Waste in the UK

By Wisha Limbu

A shelf of canned foods at Tesco.  

Picture by: Wisha Limbu

Food waste is a widespread issue that affects people all over the world, including in the United Kingdom. For the sake of the environment, the economy, and social well-being, it is critical to address the issue of food waste as the country struggles. Feedback, a food-focused environmental advocacy group based in the United Kingdom and Netherlands, identifies food reduction as key to tackling to climate and ecological emergencies.

According to the United Nations, an estimated 13% of food produced is either lost between retail and harvest while around 17% of total global food production is wasted in households, food service industry and in retail. There is a massive need for food systems to be sustainable to be resilient and as a result, there is an urgent need to focus on reducing food waste and loss.

The Environment Act 2021 was passed in November 2021 with food waste disposals regulations to be changed for major businesses and households. With the enactment of this major legislation, the British government has been trying to address the issue of food waste.

Food Waste in The United Kingdom

Food waste has long plagued the United Kingdom and has shown how serious the problem is and how big the effects are. It includes throwing away edible food at any point during its life, from production to consumption. It also includes food waste that cannot be prevented such as whole and partially consumed food items, leftovers, and unsold or expired food items. Food waste is separated into two categories, pre-consumer and post-consumer.  

Pre-consumer food waste refers to food wasted before it reaches the consumer. It occurs at different points in the food supply chain, such as during the manufacturing, processing, distribution and retail phases. Unsold or expired food in retail stores and food service establishments, as well as faulty or damaged produce that is thrown away during harvesting or sorting, is considered as pre-consumer food waste.   

Fresh produce stocked up daily with the items where people can buy products without the concern of items being spoiled or damaged. The supermarket is the place where both quality and quantity is guaranteed.

Customers at Tesco Hook looking at produce.   

Picture by: Wisha Limbu

One of the causes of pre-consumer food waste is due to the improper handling and storage practices by retail stores. According to the British government, in 2017, the total amount of surplus food in the retail and food manufacturing being wasted amounted to 205,000 tonnes. 

Amanda Kent, manager at Tesco Hook, clarified, “The typical shelf life for food items is within five days. The food waste that is generally generated at the end of the day is only things that have been damaged or they have been opened, making them not fit for sale.”  

On the other hand, post-consumer food waste refers to food that is thrown out or wasted by customers after it has been purchased and eaten This includes food that has been thrown out because it was overbought or stored improperly, as well as leftovers from meals and rotten or expired food. Food waste that has been consumed is produced at cafeterias, restaurants, homes, and other consumer environments.  

Another major source of post-consumer food waste is the consumer behaviour. A recent from Waste and Resources Action Programme (WRAP) reveals that 45%of respondents say they are throwing out at least as much food each week as they did at this time last year with fresh food such as vegetables and fruits being amongst the most.  

Vegetables and fruits are perishable food items with a short shelf life. If not handled or stored correctly, they are vulnerable to deterioration, bruising, and spoiling. As a result, consumers might throw them away if they start to go soft, mouldy, or overripe. According to WRAP, the majority of food waste comes from household waste with a 70%.  

Impacts of Food Waste

With such large amounts of food being wasted, the implications of it affects both economically and environmentally. Research conducted by WRAP and The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change estimates that food waste accounts for 8–10% of all man-made greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, with 25–30% of all food produced lost or wasted worldwide.  

WRAP also reported that the United Kingdom generates an estimated 9.5 million tonnes of food waste annually, with a value of approximately £19 billion. Through decomposition, the £19 billion worth of food that is decaying in UK landfills produces 25 million tonnes of greenhouse gases (GHGs).   

Furthermore, the process through which food that has gone bad gets stacked high in landfills and decomposes without getting any oxygen emits significant amounts of methane, which traps greenhouse gases twenty times more than carbon dioxide and is also produced during anaerobic decomposition. The Food and Agriculture Organisation of the United Nations estimates that 3.3 gigatons of greenhouse gases are released into the atmosphere worldwide as a result of food decay.  

Apart from food waste harming the world directly, it also harms the pockets of consumers economically. Food waste also practically results in the waste of the money used to buy the food. Over time, this accumulates and strains household finances eventually lowering people’s and families’ ability to buy.

Through joint research conducted by WRAP and Edelman, it was found that five in ten households cut back on the amount spent on shopping for groceries each week. In addition, food bills rank among the most challenging expenses to reduce, with 60% of households reporting that they find it harder to save money on food bills than on housing expenses.  

Government Policies and Local Initiatives

There are several key provisions in the Environment Act 2021. According to the British Government, the waste segregation mandate is also extended to the commercial sector by the legislation.  

It is now mandatory for businesses, such as grocery stores, restaurants, and food manufacturers, to separate their food waste from other kinds of waste. This policy aims to encourage companies to use efficient waste management techniques.

Located in Aldershot, Rushmoor Borough County, is the county in charge of local affairs. The county has launched a recycling and food waste campaign on social media.

Julie Mundy, an officer for Rushmoor Borough County, explained the process. “The policy was communicated to household by direct communication through door knocking, leaflets advising the service was going to come and then again when the equipment was delivered; through social media channels and public engagement events.”

“Our initial modelling anticipated that we would collect around 40 tonnes of food waste a week but both tonnage and participation have been much higher which we have taken a success. It was advantageous that we changed from weekly to fortnightly collections of general waste at the same time as introducing the weekly food waste service.”  

Mundy further details how Rushmoor has been able to alleviate the environmental impact in the collection of general waste since bins are collected only on alternate weeks and added that 2,940 tonnes of food waste were collected and sent for anaerobic digestion instead of energy recovery.

Recognised as the solution to dealing with food waste, anaerobic digestion is an environmentally friendly ways to recycle food waste. This process has also been adopted in the United Kingdom and turns food waste into renewable energy such as electricity and heat.

Food waste in one bin, carton and glass in another bin and general trash in one bin. Anita Sambangphe, a resident living in Aldershot, makes sure to segregate her waste every week after seeing posts on waste collecting on social media. 

“We have always practised separating waste since we live in the UK but after seeing how they do weekly food waste pickups has made me more conscious of how much food we waste.”  

Another local initiative tackling food waste is through food donation. According to Environmental Secretary Michael Grove, an estimated 100,000 tonnes of readily available and perfectly edible food thrown from United Kingdom’s food and retail industry is wasted.

Tesco, one of United Kingdom’s largest supermarkets with over 2,000 stores, partnered with FareShare, a charity promoting awareness of food waste. The Winter Food Donation is an in-store donation lasting for two to three days in local supermarkets. 

Locals are invited to donate canned food items to the Winter Food Donation such as UHT milk, tinned meat or meals sponge or rice pudding or drinks ranging from coffee to long-life juice. Ram Kumar, a local from Hook, donated for the first time. 

“It’s a tough time when people don’t have food on their table. I think the Winter Food Donation is a great initiative where people get to help the community by donating and struggling people get to have food for Christmas.”  

“It’s nice to see how different organisations are doing their part in reducing food waste. I did not know about the Winter Food Donation until today when I saw the board and shopping cart filled with food. This makes me realise not to take my food for granted,” he said.

Future Outlook

Although out of all European Union nations, the United Kingdom is the first to have met the half-way point towards achieving SDG Target 12.3, a pledge for halving food waste by 2023. It was recognised for this accomplishment with an honourable mention in Champions 12.3 Food Loss and Waste: 2020 Progress Report. 

Sustainable Development Goals are goals set up by the United Nations for the world to attain a better and more sustainable future. With a total of 17 SDGs, the United Nations 

The Food Waste Legislation 2023 makes a significant step in striving towards a better sustainable environment and economy.  By requiring waste segregation on all non-household premises, the legislation encourages both people and businesses to take responsibility for the waste generated and to play a role in reducing food waste as well. 

Despite the amount of food waste, the United Kingdom generates, the country has been making continuous progress when it comes to reducing food waste. Charities emerging with the mission to combat food waste and have partnered with local supermarkets to spread the message and alleviate the waste generated. 

With WRAP, the Food Waste Reduction Roadmap aims to 50% reduction in food loss and waste for all major food businesses. Through ‘Target, Measure, Act’, an initiative under Roadmap, large businesses are to be committed to set a food waste reduction target for the United Kingdom operations, measure and share in a consistent way and to take action to reduce food waste. 

Infographic

Another perspective through video

Higher living costs and increased population causes a steep rise in homelessness  

Germany currently holds the highest homelessness rate in Europe, with 372,000 identified as homeless in 2023 according to the Federal Statistical Office. With figures almost double those of last year, what is causing the surge?

Germany has seen an increase in rough sleepers per night. Photo credit: Bente van Diepen 

By Olivia Watts and Bente van Diepen 

It is a never good time of the year to be homeless, but with the peak of winter fast approaching, the challenge is intensified. Though not a new problem, homelessness is on the rise across Europe, with Germany currently holding the highest number of homeless people across the city. 

As struggles with the cost of living ensue, Germany is seeing a steep increase in people living in poverty, with limited access to food and shelter. 

Spokesperson for Berliner Stadtmission, Barbara Breuer explains “we see around 600 people every day who come to get their food.” 

According to figures published by the European Federation of National Organisations Working with the Homeless (FEANTSA), Germany recorded a total of 84,500 people identifying as homeless in 2022, proving that “policy responses to the rising number of people without a home in European countries remains insufficient.” 

With escalated living costs, housing shortages and the impact of the Russo-Ukrainian War, it is no surprise that Germany is experiencing the increase. 

A higher population, a higher homeless rate 

As stated in reports published by the Federal Homeless Group on Working Aid (BAG W), the recorded figures for the number of homeless people in 2022 showed a proportion of 29% holding German citizenship. The other 71% did not.  

The reasons for homelessness vary according to German citizenship. Illustration: Bente van Diepen 

The report showed that the predominant cause of homelessness for those with German citizenship was job termination (57%), rent and energy debts (21%), conflicts in the living environment (20%) and divorce (16%). For non-Germans, the vast majority were shown to have never gained access to a home in Germany, proving the root cause of homelessness to be departure from their native country. 

Following the increased numbers of displaced people as an effect of the Russo-Ukrainian War, in combination with a steady increase from other conflicted areas, the figures lean overwhelmingly toward refugees accounting for a large proportion of homelessness across Germany.  

According to reports from BAG W, immigration is a driving force behind the increase in homelessness since the Russo-Ukraine War. Photo credit: Bente van Diepen. 

On speaking about rising numbers in homelessness, Chris Melzer, spokesperson for the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) explained that “there were drastic changes, without a doubt […] there are more people and people who have lost their homes, and not everybody can find shelter here in Germany.” 

Chris Melzer, spokesperson for UNHCR explained the increased demand in voluntary support. Photo credit: Chris Melzer, X

Following this influx, Germany is now the third biggest host country for refugees, with a total of 2.4 million. At a challenging time with increased demand, the need for voluntary organisations and external support has become greater, calling attention to the need for a great governmental response. 

“Until now, the system is functioning thanks to so many people who are helping. I am talking about organised volunteers who are working for the Red Cross, churches, and other NGOs, but also ordinary people who just help refugees. We saw it in 2022, as we did in 2016/17, that people just help other people,” Melzer continued. 

For homeless people without German citizenship, societal reasons are not alone at the source of the problem, but rather the personal strain of being displaced. 

“The biggest difference [for homeless refugees] of course is something no government could provide. You are uprooted, you are not at home anymore—you probably do not know what is happening at home or to your loved ones,” Melzer said. 

Despite the rise in number of homeless people, UNHCR has described the situation as manageable, with the living conditions between German and non-German homeless people being comparable. 

“Asylum seekers have a standard, like people who are unemployed for example, and this includes housing, healthcare etc. for the refugees, even a little more than the asylum seekers, so it can be seen to be close to the German society,” Melzer emphasised. 

UNHCR has challenged the narrative that homelessness amongst refugees is at an all-time high.  

Speaking on whether homelessness is a major problem, Melzer emphasised “What we know from our daily talks with the refugee council is that we do not see it as a major problem.”  

“We are talking about 84 million people living here in Germany, I am afraid we must face the situation that there will be homeless people when you have so many people in one place […] that does not mean ignoring the problem, like it is natural, of course not. I would not call it a crisis, a problem sure, without any doubt and we need to take care of it, but not a crisis,” he continued. 

The power of people 

For many sleeping rough, there is nowhere to turn to. It is times like these where non-profit organisations prove to be an essential resource to those in need.  

Beginning in times of industrialisation, with a mission of providing a place of safety for those in need, Berliner Stadtmission, a social organisation taking care of homeless people, see hundreds of people every day in search of food.  

Speaking on a local level, spokesperson for Berliner Stadtmission, Barbara Breuer explained the increase in homelessness can be linked to the increase in poverty across Germany. 

Barbara Breuer, spokesperson on behalf of Berliner Stadtmission. Photo credit: Bente van Diepen 

“Poverty is on the rise in Berlin, more and more people cannot afford to go and buy their food by themself,” Breuer said. 

As seen with support for refugees, voluntary work is essential in controlling the needs of the homeless. To rely on the government alone, would not be possible. 

“I think that the holes that need to be stuffed are becoming bigger and bigger for lots of organisations, as there are lots of people who need help […] we have wonderful people helping us here, voluntarily, and if they would not come, we would have to close this facility and not be able to open the doors every day,” Breuer continued. 

Berliner Stadtmission does not only act as a refuge for the homeless but also for the community.  

For frequent visitor, Helga, Berliner Stadtmission provides a “social hub” during lonelier times.  

“Yesterday, someone gifted me a small Christmas tree, and I was so happy I cried,” Helga told us.  

Breuer explained the importance of this for members of the community, “We are kind of a substitute for family, so people come here to tell us about their wellbeing, how they are, how they slept etc […] It’s just someone [they] can talk to, someone who will listen.” 

Berliner Stadtmission may be among the biggest organisations in Germany, but smaller organisations are also making fundamental changes. 

1892 Hilft operate their soup bus every Tuesday and Thursday between Schloßstraße and Alexanderplatz, Berlin. Photo credit: Bente van Diepen. 

1892 Hilft, formed from a group of football fans, all “united by the desire to make [the] city a little bit better”, introduced their ‘soup bus’, accessible every Tuesday and Thursday, providing a place for homeless people in Berlin to access warm food.  

André Ruschkowski, responsible for driving the soup bus, explains its importance to the community. 

Andre Ruschkowski, driver for 1892 Hilft volunteers every Tuesday and Thursday. Photo credit: Bente van Diepen

“People come here, who do not have enough money to eat. In Alexanderplatz, we have a lot of homeless people and drug takers,” Ruschkowski said. 

“Everybody can access the soup […] but when we see a poor person, someone with no shoes for example, we want to help him especially,” Ruschkowski continued. 

Berliner Stadtmission, 1892Hilft providing support at a time of increased need. Credit: Bente van Diepen

Response from the state 

With considerable support from the public, the question remains: how is the government responding?  

Proposed by the Green parliamentary group, Die Grünen, in 2019 “Ensuring the Human Right to Housing—Consistently Combatting Homelessness”, aimed to respond to the surge by encouraging the government to establish a plan of action. This is intended to provide easier access to accommodation, to lower homelessness rates. 

Spokesperson for the party, Hanna Steinmuller, explains “the measures [are] aimed at strengthening homeless prevention, including changes in rental law and a housing policy for affordable housing.” 

As the party were not part of the elected federal government until 2021, the party could not shape policy decisions until very recently.  

Advocating to address homelessness, in alliance with the ‘traffic light’ government (Social Democrats (SDP) and Liberals (FDP)), Die Grünen party introduced a national action plan. 

“Currently being developed by the responsible ministry, this program’s goal is to overcome homelessness by 2030,” Steinmuller said. 

“It is a central concern for the ‘traffic light’ government to overcome homelessness in Germany by 2030. We bear a responsibility to ensure that every person in our country can afford a roof over their head […] all political levels, including federal, state, and local governments, are collaboratively working with affected individuals, social organisations, and the housing sector towards this objective,” Steinmuller continued. 

According to Bundesministerium für Wohnen, Stadtentwicklung und Bauwesen, translated to ‘Federal Ministry of Housing, Urban Development and Construction,’ the implementation of the action plan will consist of annual work programs, self-organized forums, support through scientific expertise, annual review meetings and process control by federal departments.  

Setting an example 

With Germany grappling with meeting such an increased demand, looking to other countries’ methods can prove useful. 

As homelessness figures soar across many European countries, Finland, alongside Denmark, have been named the only European countries where homelessness is decreasing. The common factor being the ‘Housing First Policy’ which both countries have adopted.  

The First Housing Policy is based on the idea of providing a home to the homeless before asking for any conditions in return. This means that the person in need would not require a job, be sober, or need to change their lifestyle in any way before being provided accommodation. Housing is provided first. 

It comes from the idea that people can move forward more easily when they have a place to stay. According to Finland’s Ministry of the Environment, the number of long-term homeless people decreased by 35% between 2008, when Housing First was implemented, and 2015. In 2016, Finland saw homeless figures fall below 7,000 for the first time. 

According to figures published by the Housing Finance and Development Centre of Finland (ARA), homelessness has been on the decline for 8 continuous years in Finland. 

Whilst many will argue that there is no miracle cure for homelessness, Finland’s strategy is proving a great success.  

According to a case study conducted by The Atlas, a hub for political case studies, it has been estimated that Housing First has provided 4,600 homes in the past decade. In addition, it is predicted that 4 out of 5 people securing Housing First properties will keep their flat and lead a more stable life, and 20% of those who leave either do so of their own accord or are unable to pay the rent. Even in these cases, they are still able to reapply for housing support. 

The proof is in the figures when it comes to Finland being a successful country for tackling homelessness.  

The Solutions 

Homelessness can appear in many forms, making the complexity of the problem difficult to approach. However, there is never a harder time of the year to be without a home, increasing the need for support. Amidst a time of difficulty for many in Germany, members of the community have enlisted themselves to act. 

Many organisations across Germany are working in the fight against homelessness in Berlin. Illustration: Bente van Diepen 

From volunteering to donating clothing and supplies, there are many ways the community can help, and fortunately, this is being seen every day. 

Dario Adamic, founder of ‘homeless veggie dinners,’ organised by a group of friends, is proof of how a little can go a long way. 

Starting in 2010 by chance, Adamic, alongside friends, began hosting monthly dinners for people without access to food.  

Over their years of operation, ‘homeless veggie dinners’ have brought people together, slowly changing the stigma around homelessness. 

“The idea is that when you see a poorly dressed person on the street and they approach you, most people just walk away, they feel uncomfortable. This is a natural human reaction. But the thing is, when you sit at the same table and the reason you came is the same reason they came, for food and company, you do not have this feeling,” Adamic explained. 

“This dinner is a great excuse to open the doors to communication, where people can sit and be with each other, and talk about things,” he continued. 

For many homeless people, the ‘silent’ challenge is loneliness. When asked for his biggest piece of advice for the public, Adamic emphasised the significance of being acknowledged. 

“The most important thing for the people who live on the margin of our society is to be acknowledged, this means a lot. People walk by and they do not see them, they are invisible, and this invisibility is what hurts them the most,” he said. 

“Talking to a person on the street does not cost you anything, maybe give them more than money can give,” he continued. 

Controversial amnesty deal sparks new debate over Catalonia’s future and the fight for independence.

A recent deal between Pedro Sánchez’s socialist party and the pro-Catalan independence Junts party has re-ignited a passionate debate over the status of Catalonia’s right to independence. Parties Esquerra Republicana and Junts Per Catalunya gave their vote to Pedro Sanchez for re-election in exchange for the adoption of the amnesty bill. 

Catalonian flags distributed by Assemblea Nacional Catalana hanging from residential buildings in Barcelona. Credit: Alice Kazakov and Leonidas Kaps

By Alice Kazakov and Leonidas Kaps

Members of the independence movement see the deal as necessary to re-ignite the flame of political will and inspire demonstrations needed to call for self-determination. The agreement will pardon separatist leaders and individuals, such as currently exiled Carles Puigdemont, giving the movement its biggest advocates back. 

Others, like political journalists and people who identify themselves as being “more realistic,” say the amnesty deal was yet just another political tactic to feign good relations between Spain and Catalonia. 

An Unusual Exchange

The amnesty deal presents as a simple exchange between parties. Pedro Sánchez will be repositioned in the Spanish government, while those that were charged and then prosecuted for the 1 October referendum in 2017 will be granted pardon. The mass pardoning will cancel trials, revoke sentences, and allow influential figures like Puigdemont to return from exile. 

In exchange, Junts per Catalunya and Esquerra Republicana voted in the Spanish Congress with a total of 14 votes, 7 votes each, to secure another term in office for Sánchez. In the first elections on July 19, 2023, the conservative People’s Party gained the most votes but was unable to secure an absolute majority. Sánchez’s Spanish Socialist Workers’ Party became the second-strongest party. Following the deal with the Catalonian pro-independence parties, Sánchez was able to win the election on November 16, 2023. Aleix Martí Danés, a political communication professor at Universitat Pompeu Fabra, sees the deal as an advantage for both sides. 

“It gives calm and quiet to the politics. It gives stability to the Spanish government and is a barrier for the radical right,” he said. “For Catalonia and Spain, it’s a good scenario. If this will conduce to the independence of Catalonia, I have my doubts. 

Credit: Leonidas Kaps

Though it seems like a beneficial deal for both parties, there were mass protests in large cities like Madrid. There, the consensus is that Catalonia does not need to be separate from Spain, and this deal will inspire pro-independence parties to keep negotiating and fighting for self-determination. 

On the other hand, political figures and organizations in Catalonia argue that it will take something much bigger than this deal to make significant change. Others raise a bigger question over how issues such as these can be solved democratically, if even at all. 

History of the Region 

Catalonia has a strong sense of identity and culture in line with its history. The region has historically had its own language, Catalan, which is closely related to Spanish but has its own unique grammar and vocabulary accredited to the native Catalans. The region’s position on the Mediterranean coast influences its culture heavily, and Catalans argue that Catalonia is too different of a region to be grouped in with Spain. 

Walking through Barcelona and the greater region of Catalonia, people are faced with Catalonian flags adorning every other balcony and greeted by shopkeepers speaking in Catalan, hoping to preserve their culture in a city bustling with tourists. 

Credit: Leonidas Kaps

From 1936 to 1975, Spain was under the dictatorship of General Francisco Franco, who was a strong supporter of Catholicism and nationalism and used his ideologies to consolidate his power. Individuals were not allowed to participate in politics or voice their thoughts, while many politically affiliated movements were forbidden. 

Minorities and especially Catalans, faced discrimination and persecution. Many suffered political-related imprisonment or even death penalties. Catalan language and culture were forbidden as Spanish was established as the national and sole language.  

After the Spanish government approved a new autonomy legislation in 1979, Catalonia was granted more rights over its own regional sovereignty and affairs. Many Catalans, however, feel that the new regulations and system fall short of what is necessary. This can be seen in data from a Pew Research Center study taken in 2017 just months after the referendum, highlighting that 91% of Catalonians who participated distrust the Spanish government to do what is right for the country. 

The inadequate governmental system, along with the dismissal of a culture in a region that has a strong connection with its history, is the very platform that the independence movement sits on. 

Dolors Feliu, president of the pro-independence organization Assemblea Nacional Catalana, explained that it is hard to group Catalans and Spaniards into one country when most Catalonians do not even follow Castilian, or the Spanish national language.

President Dolors Feliu stands in her office next to artwork from previous demonstrations. Credit: Leonidas Kaps

“We are people coming from the sea for many centuries. And we have another culture, another language,” she says. She described how Catalonia will always, as in history, face repression from the Spanish government unless they fully leave Spain. 

“Catalonia is a different country. There is no recognition about us, about our decisions, about our language, about nothing. We think that we need to make our own decisions, our own parliament independence.” 

Possible Start to Something New 

Organizations like ANC have long been demonstrating and calling for talks to negotiate independence and sovereignty. Though a consistent and long-standing movement, there have not been any significant changes in Catalonia’s right to autonomy in the past couple years after the 2017 referendum was deemed illegal. 

Now there is a real chance for change, as explained by Feliu, but the terms and language in the deal still do not address the critical idea that pro-independence groups are looking for as they try to gain mass attention to their movement.  

“This negotiation is positive for the amnesty and for [our] repression, but there is no hope in this negotiation about the self-determination right,” she said. “[…] and that’s no good for the future, for our project to achieve the independence.”  

Vicente Partal, director of pro-independence news outlet Vilaweb, shared how the amnesty will not only improve Catalonia’s relationship with the central government but also give parties like Junts per Catalunya and Esquerra Republicana leverage in decision-making and political processes. 

If Sanchez’s socialist party does not meet their promises for amnesty in a timely manner, Junts party will have the authority to rewrite or negotiate more deals, as explained by Partal, who listened to a speech given by Carles Puigdemont in Brussels on 29 November.  

“I think what is clear is that something extraordinary is happening related to the solution of the political problem between Catalonia and Spain,” Partal said. “[….] something extraordinary that we cannot talk about in a normal process.”   

Organizations like ANC believe that the political ties between the different parties and governments will allow Catalonia and Spain to hold a close and collaborative relationship, even if Catalonia were to separate. 

Others, like Professor Aleix Martí Danés, believe that although it is a nice goal, it is simply not realistic. 

“It would be impossible [to keep good relations]. In the past, there have been some campaigns to boycott Catalan products,” Danés said. “[The deal] gives stability to the Spanish government and is a barrier for the radical right to assume majority and power. If this will conduce the independence of Catalonia, I have my doubts, but maybe it’s a start. It’s a good start.”   

Political Burnout and Uncertainty 

Although there is a level of optimism about this deal, some Catalans interested in politics are worried that the independence movement is not a priority anymore for this deal to mean anything significant. 

Carles Singla Casella is one of these realists, or so he calls himself. Casella is a political and corporate communication professor at Universitat Pompeu Fabra Barcelona and focuses on how political problems are perceived and communicated in Catalonia. He explained how the idea of independence is losing traction.

Carles Singla Casella stands in front of Universitat Pompeu Fabra library which was repurposed from an old factory building. Credit: Leonidas Kaps

“Well, in 2017, lots of people thought it was possible to make a referendum, to win the referendum, and to separate from Spain. That for a short period of time looked like a real possibility,” he said. “What happened later showed that this is not a real possibility.”

“There are people who still think we should be an independent country. But even then, if they sit down and think a little bit, they know that it’s not going to happen in a foreseeable time. I think now the independence is not a priority issue for the people in Catalonia.” 

People are slowly giving up, he explained. The momentum to hold demonstrations is passing, and there are no grand changes coming in the foreseeable future to fight for. 

Aside from the feeling of political burnout, the chance of prosecution creates a barrier for some to use their voice. Casella explains that Catalans were sent multiple warnings in the form of prosecution. 

“The warning is if you demonstrate at the airport, you will be prosecuted as a terrorist. The warning is that if you try to set up a referendum, [Spain] will send you police with sticks. You cannot vote,” he said. “Getting people into prison or having people into exile for demonstrating, that’s a warning.” 

When asked if they would vote in a hypothetical referendum, students responded that they would only participate if they knew they would be protected. 

Marta Minguez, a communications student at the aforementioned UPF, said, “If it’s legal and the vast majority of people go vote, then yes, but my vote would be no.” Minguez’s mother lives in Madrid. A separation would put the pair in different countries, potentially making it harder to see each other. 

Political science student Laura Córdova explained, “If there’s a majority of people that want to separate from Spain and the European Union, I’m all for it because it’s democratic. I’m 90% sure though it wouldn’t happen, because it’s not as easy as just voting.” 

The consequences that came from the 2017 referendum were a big shock for demonstrators and created greater tension between the different governments. It became harder for pro-independence organizations to motivate the greater public to use their voice and demonstrate as people feared retaliation from Spain. 

Vilaweb journalist Partal added to this, saying,

“They built an atmosphere where the pro-Spanish people don’t want to debate. They possibly have reasons that are serious reasons against the separation of Catalonia, but they are losing the credibility because their only way to answer is violence. And if the only way to answer a question is with violence, then that means that you are not sure about your reasons.”

The students are just two examples of the future generation being conflicted about how to handle this issue. They, along with their university peers, coworkers, and family members, have been left disappointed by the central and Catalonian government with their promises for change. 

One specific example is the railroad and transit system around Barcelona. Madrid uses the same system, but it has been developed exponentially over the past years to accommodate the influx of new citizens and tourists. Barcelona, and more specifically, Catalonia, has been left disappointed in how little their transit issues are prioritized. 

The transit system is just one of the many things the Catalonian government wants full ownership of. The problem, however, is that it has been an issue in negotiations for years. 

“These deals are the same deals since the beginning of the democracy in Spain. Since 1980, we are in the same framework,” ANC president Feliu explained while talking about new negotiations that can spark from the amnesty deal. 

“We are so disappointed in these issues, and we have no trust in these deals because it’s always the same. It’s just the same thing at the beginning. Already in 2010, [the central government] proposed a deal about the same terms, about economy and transport, and about Catalan language. There’s always the same thing on the table.” 

An Unknown Future 

How, if at all, will this amnesty deal affect future negotiations between Spain and Catalonia? How can pro-independence organizations and political parties gain momentum for a movement many have given up on? 

Núria Falcó, international coordinator at Assemblea Nacional Catalana, spoke on behalf of pro-independence organizations and how they view the situation. “I feel like people are very unmotivated because it’s been a really long time that people have been fighting a lot,” she said. “That, of course, takes a toll on people; it’s overwhelming. 

“The thing now is just to create hope again and to make a project that’s realistic and relatable, because those who were for independence five years ago, they have not changed their political ideas,” she said. Even with hope for a possible independence, she does not have any ideas as to what the future may bring.  

Journalist Partal, however, argues there is a bigger question to be asked than what Catalonia’s future may look like, relating it to other current world events. 

“What is interesting is that this Catalan question is important as a world debate […] on how to change borders without violence, and there is some, especially American lawyers and jurists, that are starting to talk about this. The problems we have in the world today we have because we do not have a methodology to change borders in a democratic way.” 

The housing crisis is raging in Portugal: People have to choose between rent and food on the table 

Lots of houses stand empty in Lisbon, Portugal inspite of the crisis. Photo Theis Nielsen

The population in Portugal is experiencing the worst housing crisis in decades. Even though measures have been taken, do financial experts not see them as the solution.

By: Hanna Urfjell Pedersen, Johanne Hanghøj Jørgensen and Theis Nielsen 

As the Portuguese housing crisis is currently raging throughout the country, an analysis from Portugal’s Central Bank, published on October 5th this year, shows an inequality between income, house prices and rates. An inequality that’s currently at its highest peak in more than 20 years. Worst affected by this is people under 35, where the percentage who can afford to buy a home is at the same level as in 1981, a decrease of almost 50% compared to 2001 where more than two-thirds of people under 35 owned their house. 

Illustration: Theis Nielsen

However, it isn’t just buying property that has become a problem in Portugal. Renting a house or an apartment in the bigger cities has become just as much of a problem, if not more. The situation has now reached a point, where many are struggling to get an economic surplus at the end of the month, and some are even unable to pay their bills. 

10 years of changes

According to Gonçalo Antunes, Professor in Human Science at Novo University in Lisbon, the last 10 years of different changes to the housing market, can be attributed as a cause behind the current crisis. One of these changes regards the liberalization of the rental market back in 2011-2014. Portugal was in the middle of an economic crisis at the time, and in need of help from the EU bailout group, Troika. One of their demands was that the government had to liberalize the rental market, something which is now affecting rental prices negatively. 

But the liberalization isn’t the only thing that has affected the market. Other outside factors have also had a huge impact. 

“Another thing is tourism and short-term rentals. The concentration of short-term rentals in some areas is clearly affecting the housing market. Especially in the Lisbon municipality, and downtown in particular,” said Professor Goncalo Antunes.  

Since the launch of Airbnb in 2008, the number of short-term rentals has skyrocketed in the country. Between 2010 and mid-2019, the number of short-term rentals in Lisbon rose by more than 500%. This made the capital number six on the list of cities with the most Airbnb’s pr. inhabitant. “Foreigners from Central Europe, China, Brazil and The United States come to Portugal and buy or rent housing most Portuguese people couldn’t afford. Especially people from Centrale Europe who earn more than the general Portuguese person does,” said Professor Goncalo Antunes. 

The Golden visa

Back in 2009, hot on the heels of a financial crisis, the Portuguese government started the now more than 14-year-long non-residential tax regime. One of the measures introduced was the Golden Visa in October 2012. The idea was to attract foreign investors to the country by offering them tax exemptions, and by June 31st, 2023, more than €7.2 billion had been invested in the country through the Golden Visa.

In general, Portugal has been highly effective at attracting foreigners to get a residential permit. The D7 visa gives people with a passive income the right to live in the country, and only pay 15-20% tax on everything they earn besides the passive income in the first 10 years. The digital nomad visa gives foreigners working remotely the right to live in Portugal for three years and only pay around 20% in tax. A Portuguese citizen has to pay 48% in tax.   

The other side of the crisis

According to Professor Goncalo Antunes, all these factors combined have put the housing market under such pressure, that the price pr. square meter has doubled within the last five years. However, in somewhat of a paradox to the housing crisis, Portugal currently has a high number of vacant houses. In Lisbon, is more than 47 000 out of 320 000 houses vacant. Half of these are available to buy or rent the other half stands unoccupied.  

“In Portugal, you don’t need to use the house. You do what you want with your property. If you want to leave that property vacant, you can do that,” says Professor Goncalo Antunes.   

Why so many houses remain empty is a mystery, but According to Professor Antunes, one of the reasons could originates back in 1947. From then and up until 1990, landlords were held in a tight grip, by the government. They controlled the market and froze the rent.  
To this day more than 100 000 people live in properties with a lease from before 1990. They have a very low rent. For instance, they would only have to pay €50 – €100 for an apartment somewhere like downtown Lisbon.   

The choice between food and rent

In 2023, an average one-bedroom rental in Lisbon costs approximately €1000 per month. In 2023 is the minimum wage €740 set to increase to €820 in 2024.  

Dr. Tiago Cunha does not think the government is doing enough for the people in need. Photo Hanna Urfjell Pedersen

“We have two problems with the minimum wage. It’s very minimal and it’s very general. It’s a lot of people, increasing the number of people who earn the minimum wage. And it’s not working like a minimum, but almost like a general wage,” said economist at the biggest union for workers in Portugal, CGPT, Dr. Tiago Cunha. 

More than 40% of the workers in Portugal earn €800 or less a month, which stands in contrast to “A lot of workers in Portugal are in a situation where they have to choose between paying for the house, paying the medicine, or putting food on the table. The situation in general and the inflation of living costs has in some situations put people in this dilemma”  

The CGTP aims to change these conditions so that the workers will be able to afford the essentials. To achieve this, they have proposed many different measures for the government to implement. Some of these regards a fairer tax system and higher minimum wage. 

At the moment, Portugal has a flat tax system, where everybody has to pay a flat tax, regardless of their income. CGTP proposes that people with a higher income also pay a higher tax, while people with a lower income pay a lower tax.   

They also propose a 15% increase for the minimum wage. 

“If you look at the index prediction for this year and if you look at the economic growth conditions, you’ll see this number [15%]. It’s absolutely a possibility, but more so, it’s absolutely necessary,” said Dr Cunha.

Measures must be taken  

Regarding the housing market, Dr Cunha stresses that two specific measures must be taken—the measures that will affect the people right now, and the measures that will affect them long-term. 

 
“We propose to freeze the increase of interest rates. They are linked to the inflation index which was very high last year and will be even higher this year. We also propose that they freeze the rent for people who rent their property and that no one can be expelled from their home because they can’t afford to pay the rent,” 

Regarding long-term measures, Dr. Cunha says there will need to be structural changes within the system. To make more affordable housing they suggest a broader public rental market and a property investment market where it’s not as easy for foreigners with large amounts of capital to invest. 

Mais Habitação program

Illustration: Theis Nielsen

Earlier this year, on October 6th, the Portuguese government presented the Mais Habitação program, also known as the “More Housing Program”. It aims to ensure affordable housing in Portugal for years to come, by introducing restrictions on short-term rentals and extra contributions from businesses capitalizing from the short-term rental market. Furthermore, it forces rental of vacant properties and sets a limit on the value of new property on the market. 

Furthermore, the government also implemented a tax benefit to the people, who sell their property to the government, so they can create more affordable housing. Restrictions on the Golden Visa, which means new applicants cannot invest in property. More discount on property tax for families in need.  A lower tax on rental income, so it will be more beneficial for property owners to rent it out. Tax reduction for property owners who exit the short-term rentals.   

The non-residential tax regime, where foreigners pay a much lower tax than the Portuguese citizen has been set to end by the end of 2024.  

Palliative measures

The day after its presentation, the “More Housing Program” was put into effect, and will remain so until the mid-2020s. However, Professor Goncalo Antunes is sceptical as to the effectiveness of the program. 

“I don’t believe they will help the market [with the Mais Habitação program]. The measures are palliative. They only help right now at this moment but will not change the housing market. It will likely still increase. The government is not doing anything structural. If they really want to change the market, they should create long-term measures.”